OVER / UNDER
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CA-11 primary: Scott Wiener vote percent

Price history — At least 60%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
40% - 45%26¢
35% - 40%20¢
45% - 50%3¢
30% - 35%2¢
50% - 55%2¢
55% - 60%1¢
Below 30%0¢
At least 60%★ BEST0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 9.8K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-06-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · At least 60%
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→
OU's fair20¢
+20¢ underpriced
Confidence
Moderate

Scott Wiener is the dominant incumbent in a heavily Democratic district and early reports show him leading the field to replace Nancy Pelosi.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.