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KY-04 Republican primary: Ed Gallrein vote percent

Price history — 48% - 51%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
54% - 57%97¢
Below 39%1¢
39% - 42%0¢
57% - 60%0¢
48% - 51%★ BEST0¢
At least 60%0¢
42% - 45%0¢
45% - 48%0¢
51% - 54%0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 115.7K contracts • Updated 32m agoCloses: 2027-05-19
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · 48% - 51%
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→
OU's fair20¢
+20¢ underpriced
Confidence
Moderate

A Quantus Insights poll shows Ed Gallrein leading Thomas Massie with nearly half of the vote share in the initial ballot for the Kentucky 4th District Republican primary.

Wide edge+20¢
High volume27k contracts
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.