OVER / UNDER
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Los Angeles mayoral election: Karen Bass vote percent (1st round)

Price history — At least 50%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
35% - 40%65¢
30% - 35%23¢
40% - 45%7¢
25% - 30%0¢
15% - 20%0¢
Below 15%0¢
45% - 50%0¢
20% - 25%0¢
At least 50%★ BEST0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 68.9K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-06-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · At least 50%
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→
OU's fair0¢
Confidence
Low

Incumbent mayors in Los Angeles typically secure high vote shares in primary rounds when facing a fragmented field of challengers.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.