How many ties will J.D. Vance break in 2026?
Price history — 1
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
24¢
19¢
10¢
6¢
3¢
3¢
1¢
1¢
1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-02
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · 1
at 10¢
Price gap
Kalshi10¢
→OU's fair30¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 10×
Confidence
Moderate
Vance has already cast one tie-breaking vote in January 2026 and the current Senate composition makes additional ties throughout the remainder of the year statistically likely.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.