WA-09 primary: who will advance?
Price history — Adam Smith
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
97¢
66¢
18¢
14¢
2¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 20.4K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Adam Smith
at 97¢
Price gap
Kalshi97¢
→OU's fair95¢
−2¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Adam Smith has consistently won re-election in this district since 1997 and typically secures a top-two spot in Washington's nonpartisan primary system.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.