Will a country with no prior World Cup victories win the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?
Price history — Will a country with no prior World Cup victories win the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES27¢ (27%)
NO73¢ (73%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 5.6K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-08-03
Kalshi · Sports
OU's Pick
NO at 73¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Kalshi73¢
→OU's fair80¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical data shows only eight nations have ever won the World Cup and the top favorites for 2026 are all previous champions like France and Spain.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.