Will any country not ranked in the top 10 of the FIFA Men's World Ranking at the time of issuance reach the semifinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?
Price history — Will any country not ranked in the top 10 of the FIFA Men's World Ranking at the time of issuance reach the semifinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES70¢ (70%)
NO30¢ (30%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 1.7K contracts • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-07-27
Kalshi · Sports
OU's Pick
NO at 30¢ · pays 3.3×
Price gap
Kalshi30¢
→OU's fair35¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 3.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical data shows that at least one team ranked outside the FIFA top ten has reached the semifinals in five of the last six World Cup tournaments.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.