Will the winner of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup be any country not ranked in the top 10 of the FIFA Men's World Ranking at the time of issuance?
Price history — Will the winner of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup be any country not ranked in the top 10 of the FIFA Men's World Ranking at the time of issuance?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES6¢ (6%)
NO94¢ (94%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 704 contracts • Updated 46m agoCloses: 2026-07-27
Kalshi · Sports
OU's Pick
YES at 6¢ · pays 17×
Price gap
Kalshi6¢
→OU's fair25¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 17×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical data shows that the FIFA World Cup is almost exclusively won by top-tier nations and current power rankings favor established giants like Brazil and Germany.
Wide edge+19¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.