Will all host nations reach the knockout stage of the 2026 World Cup?
Price history — Will all host nations reach the knockout stage of the 2026 World Cup?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES56¢ (56%)
NO44¢ (44%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 968.8 contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-07-05
Kalshi · Sports
OU's Pick
NO at 44¢ · pays 2.3×
Price gap
Kalshi44¢
→OU's fair55¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 2.3×
Confidence
Moderate
The expanded 48-team format allows 32 teams to reach the knockout stage which significantly increases the statistical probability of all three host nations advancing.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.