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USA: Stage of Elimination

Price history — Round of 16

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

24¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
Round of 3236¢
Round of 16★ BEST24¢
Group Stage13¢
Quarterfinals11¢
Semifinals3¢
Runner-Up2¢
Outright Winner1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4.8K contracts • Updated 7m agoCloses: 2026-07-27
Kalshi · Sports
OU's Pick
YES · Round of 16
at 24¢
Price gap
Kalshi24¢
OU's fair23¢
1¢ overpriced · pays 4.2×
Confidence
Low

The USA typically advances from the group stage but often struggles against elite competition in the first knockout rounds of the World Cup.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.