Will any host nation win their group in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?
Price history — Will any host nation win their group in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES82¢ (82%)
NO18¢ (18%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 7.4K contracts • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-07-05 (25d)
Kalshi · Sports
OU's Pick
NO at 18¢ · pays 5.6×
Price gap
Kalshi18¢
→OU's fair25¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 5.6×
Confidence
Moderate
The United States and Mexico are both projected to win or advance from their groups while playing all group stage matches in their respective home countries.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.