Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative before Jan 1, 2027?
Price history — Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative before Jan 1, 2027?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES40¢ (40%)
NO60¢ (60%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 869.6 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 60¢ · pays 1.7×
Price gap
Kalshi60¢
→OU's fair80¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.7×
Confidence
Moderate
The California Secretary of State has until June 25 2026 to qualify the initiative for the ballot and legal challenges are expected to delay implementation.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.