OVER / UNDER
POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

2028 popular vote margin of victory?

Price history — Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

3¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democratic by 9.0% or more14¢
Republican by 9.0% or more9¢
Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%6¢
Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%5¢
Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%5¢
Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%5¢
Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%5¢
Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%5¢
Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99%4¢
Republican by 1.0% to 1.99%4¢
Republican by 7.0% to 7.99%3¢
Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%3¢
Republican by 5.0% to 5.99%3¢
Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%★ BEST3¢
Republican by 6.0% to 6.99%3¢
Republican by 8.0% to 8.99%3¢
Republican by 3.0% to 3.99%2¢
Republican by 4.0% to 4.99%2¢
Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%2¢
Republican by 2.0% to 2.99%2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 50.8K contracts • Updated 32m agoCloses: 2029-05-06
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%
at 3¢
Price gap
Kalshi3¢
→
OU's fair3¢
Confidence
Low

Historical data shows Democrats have won the popular vote in seven of the last eight presidential elections with margins often falling between two and five points.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.