New Scottish referendum called before 2027?
Price history — New Scottish referendum called before 2027?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES3¢ (3%)
NO97¢ (97%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 20.1K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 3¢ · pays 40×
Price gap
Kalshi3¢
→OU's fair5¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 40×
Confidence
Moderate
SNP leader John Swinney stated in a televised debate that a second independence referendum could be held in 2028 which falls outside the contract window.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.