Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
63¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.2K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2029-11-07
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republican party
at 63¢
Price gap
Kalshi63¢
→OU's fair83¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Tom Cotton maintains a massive fundraising advantage and significant polling lead over Democratic challenger Hallie Shoffner in a historically safe Republican state.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.