Texas Senate winner?
Price history — Republican party
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
55¢
45¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.1M contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republican party
at 55¢
Price gap
Kalshi55¢
→OU's fair65¢
+10¢ underpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent polling from April and May 2026 shows Republican candidates John Cornyn and Ken Paxton leading Democratic challenger James Talarico in a traditionally red state.
High volume64k contracts
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.