Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Price history — Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES21¢ (21%)
NO79¢ (79%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 43.3K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2030-01-01
Kalshi · Companies
OU's Pick
NO at 79¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Kalshi79¢
→OU's fair88¢
+9¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
SpaceX current timelines project the first uncrewed Starship Mars flights for 2028 which makes a manned mission before 2030 extremely unlikely given the required testing.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.