AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES82¢ (82%)
NO18¢ (18%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.5K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
NO at 19¢ · pays 5.4×
Price gap
Polymarket19¢
→OU's fair25¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 5.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Google DeepMind already achieved a gold-medal level score in 2024 and current progress suggests models will meet the formal IMO Grand Challenge criteria by 2026.
Off market consensus
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