Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES64¢ (64%)
NO36¢ (36%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $16.7K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 36¢ · pays 2.8×
Price gap
Polymarket36¢
→OU's fair56¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 2.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Alabama's 2nd District was recently redrawn as a majority-Black district and is now considered a likely Democratic seat according to recent redistricting reports.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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