Alaska Senate Election Winner
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
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Polymarket • Volume: $334.1K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Dan Sullivan
at 37¢
Price gap
Polymarket37¢
→OU's fair52¢
+15¢ underpriced · pays 2.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Dan Sullivan maintains a significant fundraising lead and the structural advantage of incumbency in a state that typically favors Republican candidates for Senate.
Wide edge+15¢
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