Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES15¢ (15%)
NO85¢ (85%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $11.9K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (30d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 15¢ · pays 6.7×
Price gap
Polymarket15¢
→OU's fair35¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 6.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Multiple reports confirm that Lebanon recently declared the Iranian ambassador persona non grata and ordered his expulsion following a rift over Hezbollah support.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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