Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES19¢ (19%)
NO81¢ (81%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $10.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 19¢ · pays 5.4×
Price gap
Polymarket19¢
→OU's fair25¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 5.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Moody's has issued warning signs regarding the national debt reaching 39 trillion dollars while the Bipartisan Policy Center notes potential debt limit risks in late 2026.
Off market consensus
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