Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES24¢ (24%)
NO76¢ (76%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (30d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 24¢ · pays 4.2×
Price gap
Polymarket24¢
→OU's fair100¢
+76¢ underpriced · pays 4.2×
Confidence
Low
Anthropic Claude Mythos Preview already shows a striking leap in scores on many evaluation benchmarks according to official system cards.
Wide edge+76¢
Off market consensus
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