AR-02 House Election Winner
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
86¢
12¢
Polymarket • Volume: $8.2K • Updated 6h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic Party
at 12¢
Price gap
Polymarket12¢
→OU's fair12¢
Confidence
Low
Arkansas remains a solidly Republican state and the Second District has not elected a Democrat to the House of Representatives since the 2010 election cycle.
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