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AR-04 House Election Winner

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Republican Party★ BEST94¢
Democratic Party4¢
B0¢
D0¢
Other0¢
A0¢
C0¢
E0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $15.8K • Updated 13m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Republican Party
at 94¢
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
OU's fair94¢
Confidence
Low

Arkansas's 4th Congressional District is a safe Republican seat that has consistently elected GOP candidates by wide margins in recent election cycles.

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