Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES22¢ (22%)
NO78¢ (78%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $19.8K • Updated 24m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 79¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Polymarket79¢
→OU's fair79¢
Confidence
Low
Incumbent Katie Hobbs won by a very narrow margin in 2022 and Arizona remains a highly competitive swing state with no clear frontrunner for the Republican nomination yet.
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