Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES93¢ (93%)
NO7¢ (7%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8K • Updated 1h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 93¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket93¢
→OU's fair95¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Tom Cotton holds a massive financial advantage with nearly ten million dollars in cash on hand while Arkansas remains a deeply Republican state.
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.