Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES93¢ (93%)
NO7¢ (7%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7.7K • Updated 14m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 7¢ · pays 13×
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→OU's fair12¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 13×
Confidence
Moderate
Arizona's 3rd Congressional District is a heavily Democratic stronghold in Phoenix that has consistently elected Democrats by wide margins in recent election cycles.
Off market consensus
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