Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES82¢ (82%)
NO18¢ (18%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 82¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket82¢
→OU's fair92¢
+10¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Arizona's 5th Congressional District is a safe Republican seat with a Cook PVI of R+11 and has been held by Republicans for decades.
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.