Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.8K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 81¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
→OU's fair85¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Arizona's 8th district is a historically Republican stronghold and current election data shows no significant shift in the partisan lean for the 2026 cycle.
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