2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.1M • Updated 6h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 2¢ · pays 47×
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→OU's fair20¢
+18¢ underpriced · pays 47×
Confidence
Low
Historical midterm trends typically favor the party out of power and Republicans currently hold the House majority while the Senate map remains competitive.
Wide edge+18¢
High volume$10k
Off market consensus
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