Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES46¢ (46%)
NO54¢ (54%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $9.5K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 54¢ · pays 1.9×
Price gap
Polymarket54¢
→OU's fair74¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.9×
Confidence
Moderate
Money markets indicate a low probability of a rate hike while the Bank of Canada maintains a policy rate of 2.25 percent with inflation projected to reach its target in 2027.
Wide edge+20¢
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