Blue wave in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES71¢ (71%)
NO29¢ (29%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $49.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-30
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 30¢ · pays 3.4×
Price gap
Polymarket30¢
→OU's fair50¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 3.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical midterm trends typically favor the party out of power but current reports highlight significant GOP retirements and poor polling for the incumbent administration.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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