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Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES79¢ (79%)
NO21¢ (21%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-10-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 21¢ · pays 4.7×
Price gap
Polymarket21¢
OU's fair21¢
Confidence
Low

The Partido Liberal currently holds the largest bloc in the Chamber and remains a dominant force in Brazilian conservative politics ahead of the 2026 legislative elections.

Off market consensus
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