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brazil-presidential-election ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ brazil-presidential-election ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ brazil-presidential-election ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ brazil-presidential-election ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ brazil-presidential-election ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ brazil-presidential-election ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★

Brazil Presidential Election

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva★ BEST44¢
Flávio Bolsonaro28¢
Renan Santos13¢
Fernando Haddad5¢
Romeu Zema5¢
Michelle Bolsonaro2¢
Ronaldo Caiado2¢
Camilo Santana1¢
Tereza Cristina1¢
Jair Bolsonaro1¢
Geraldo Alckmin0¢
Tarcisio de Freitas0¢
Eduardo Leite0¢
Aldo Rebelo0¢
Helder Barbalho0¢
Eduardo Bolsonaro0¢
Ratinho Júnior0¢
Person V0¢
Person S0¢
Person Y0¢
Person U0¢
Person Q0¢
Other0¢
Person R0¢
Person X0¢
Person P0¢
Person N0¢
Person M0¢
Person W0¢
Person T0¢
Person O0¢
Person Z0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $86.7M • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-10-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
at 44¢
Price gap
Polymarket44¢
→
OU's fair45¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 2.3×
Confidence
Moderate

Lula remains the incumbent and leading figure in early 2026 polling as the Bolsonaro family navigates legal challenges and internal competition.

High volume$704k
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