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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Flávio Bolsonaro★ BEST57¢
Renan Santos14¢
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva12¢
Fernando Haddad6¢
Romeu Zema3¢
Michelle Bolsonaro2¢
Ronaldo Caiado2¢
Camilo Santana1¢
Geraldo Alckmin1¢
Tereza Cristina1¢
Ratinho Júnior0¢
Tarcisio de Freitas0¢
Aldo Rebelo0¢
Eduardo Leite0¢
Jair Bolsonaro0¢
Eduardo Bolsonaro0¢
Helder Barbalho0¢
Person S0¢
Person M0¢
Person N0¢
Person V0¢
Person Q0¢
Person P0¢
Person R0¢
Person U0¢
Person W0¢
Person Y0¢
Other0¢
Person O0¢
Person T0¢
Person X0¢
Person Z0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $3.6M • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2026-10-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Flávio Bolsonaro
at 57¢
Price gap
Polymarket57¢
OU's fair63¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.7×
Confidence
Low

Fl!vio Bolsonaro maintains significant political visibility as a senator and potential successor to his father's movement despite no official candidacy announcement yet.

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