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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Renan Santos35¢
Romeu Zema★ BEST26¢
Ronaldo Caiado14¢
Flávio Bolsonaro7¢
Fernando Haddad7¢
Ratinho Júnior5¢
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva1¢
Camilo Santana1¢
Michelle Bolsonaro1¢
Jair Bolsonaro1¢
Eduardo Bolsonaro1¢
Aldo Rebelo1¢
Eduardo Leite1¢
Geraldo Alckmin0¢
Tarcisio de Freitas0¢
Tereza Cristina0¢
Helder Barbalho0¢
Person T0¢
Person U0¢
Person Z0¢
Other0¢
Person Q0¢
Person X0¢
Person Y0¢
Person P0¢
Person V0¢
Person S0¢
Person M0¢
Person N0¢
Person O0¢
Person R0¢
Person W0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $304K • Updated 6m agoCloses: 2026-10-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Romeu Zema
at 26¢
Price gap
Polymarket26¢
→
OU's fair20¢
−6¢ overpriced · pays 3.8×
Confidence
Low

Romeu Zema is a prominent center-right figure who often polls behind the main frontrunners but remains a strong contender for the third-place position in early 2026 projections.

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