Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES5¢ (5%)
NO95¢ (95%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $12.1K • Updated 16m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 95¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket95¢
→OU's fair95¢
Confidence
Low
Redistricting under Proposition 50 and uncertainty regarding incumbent Kevin Kiley's plans create a competitive environment for the seat in the 2026 midterm elections.
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