Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES96¢ (96%)
NO4¢ (4%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.1K • Updated 30m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 5¢ · pays 22×
Price gap
Polymarket5¢
→OU's fair5¢
Confidence
Low
California's 4th Congressional District is historically a Republican stronghold and the current search context shows a high number of Republican candidates in the primary.
Off market consensus
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