Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES17¢ (17%)
NO83¢ (83%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.5K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 83¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket83¢
→OU's fair95¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
California's 5th District is a solidly Republican seat currently held by Tom McClintock and is rated as safe for the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm cycle.
Wide edge+12¢
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