Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES5¢ (5%)
NO95¢ (95%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 5¢ · pays 21×
Price gap
Polymarket5¢
→OU's fair92¢
+87¢ underpriced · pays 21×
Confidence
Moderate
California's 6th district is a Democratic stronghold currently represented by Ami Bera and historical voting patterns in this region heavily favor the Democratic candidate.
Wide edge+87¢
Off market consensus
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