Will the Republican Party win the CA-10 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.6K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 7¢ · pays 15×
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→OU's fair27¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 15×
Confidence
Moderate
California's 10th district is a Democratic stronghold and recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has not significantly altered the partisan lean of the region.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.