Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES3¢ (3%)
NO97¢ (97%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.1K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 3¢ · pays 38×
Price gap
Polymarket3¢
→OU's fair5¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 38×
Confidence
Moderate
California's 11th district is a Democratic stronghold in San Francisco currently represented by Nancy Pelosi and is expected to remain in Democratic control.
Off market consensus
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