Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES94¢ (94%)
NO6¢ (6%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.6K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
→OU's fair95¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
California's 14th district is a Democratic stronghold previously held by Eric Swalwell and the search context confirms it remains a safe seat for the party in 2026.
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.