Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $27.5K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 7¢ · pays 15×
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→OU's fair12¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 15×
Confidence
Moderate
California's 16th district is a Democratic stronghold where the 2024 general election featured two Democrats and no Republican candidate on the ballot.
Off market consensus
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