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Will the Democratic Party win the CA-25 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES91¢ (91%)
NO9¢ (9%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.7K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 9¢ · pays 11×
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair
Confidence
Low

California's 25th District is currently represented by Democrat Raul Ruiz but redistricting and historical competitiveness in the region create a tossup environment for 2026.

Off market consensus
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