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Will the Republican Party win the CA-26 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $12.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
OU's fair94¢
Confidence
Low

California's 26th district is a historically Democratic stronghold and the current search context indicates Democrats are actively working to maintain control of the chamber.

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