Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES90¢ (90%)
NO10¢ (10%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $41.4K • Updated 16m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 90¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket90¢
→OU's fair92¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
California's 28th district is a Democratic stronghold held by the party since 2003 and currently represented by Judy Chu.
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