Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES6¢ (6%)
NO94¢ (94%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.1K • Updated 56m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 6¢ · pays 18×
Price gap
Polymarket6¢
→OU's fair15¢
+9¢ underpriced · pays 18×
Confidence
Moderate
California's 31st District is a heavily Democratic seat where the primary results show multiple Democratic incumbents competing for the position.
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.