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CA-36 House Election Winner

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Democratic Party★ BEST93¢
Republican Party6¢
A0¢
D0¢
Other0¢
B0¢
C0¢
E0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $9.7K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic Party
at 93¢
Price gap
Polymarket93¢
OU's fair90¢
3¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

California's 36th district is a heavily Democratic seat currently held by Ted Lieu and the party maintains a massive fundraising advantage in the state for the 2026 cycle.

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